Pre-tourney Rankings
Miami (FL)
Atlantic Coast
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.4#41
Expected Predictive Rating+8.4#58
Pace63.9#260
Improvement+3.5#55

Offense
Total Offense+6.1#35
Improvement+1.1#110

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#79
Improvement+2.4#64
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 25.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four23.9% n/a n/a
First Round15.0% n/a n/a
Second Round5.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.6% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 180   Tennessee Tech W 69-58 89%     1 - 0 +6.8 -4.9 +12.1
  Nov 15, 2011 117   Rutgers W 72-57 81%     2 - 0 +15.1 +11.9 +5.3
  Nov 19, 2011 190   North Florida W 75-62 90%     3 - 0 +8.0 +8.4 +1.2
  Nov 22, 2011 178   Florida Gulf Coast W 60-50 89%     4 - 0 +5.9 -10.4 +17.4
  Nov 25, 2011 84   @ Mississippi L 61-64 OT 50%     4 - 1 +6.3 -8.6 +15.1
  Nov 29, 2011 30   @ Purdue L 65-76 31%     4 - 2 +3.5 +0.6 +2.0
  Dec 03, 2011 78   Massachusetts W 83-75 73%     5 - 2 +11.0 +3.4 +6.7
  Dec 06, 2011 10   Memphis L 54-71 41%     5 - 3 -5.3 -12.3 +6.5
  Dec 10, 2011 37   @ West Virginia L 66-77 34%     5 - 4 +2.8 +5.4 -3.6
  Dec 17, 2011 208   Florida Atlantic W 93-90 2OT 86%     6 - 4 +0.6 +7.6 -7.3
  Dec 22, 2011 151   @ Charlotte W 76-61 68%     7 - 4 +19.7 +16.0 +5.3
  Dec 30, 2011 255   Appalachian St. W 84-54 95%     8 - 4 +21.0 +9.0 +13.0
  Jan 02, 2012 284   UNC Greensboro W 99-89 96%     9 - 4 -0.5 +4.9 -7.1
  Jan 07, 2012 31   @ Virginia L 51-52 32%     9 - 5 0 - 1 +13.3 +1.1 +12.0
  Jan 10, 2012 4   @ North Carolina L 56-73 12%     9 - 6 0 - 2 +5.0 -8.0 +13.5
  Jan 18, 2012 82   Clemson W 76-73 74%     10 - 6 1 - 2 +5.6 +7.3 -1.6
  Jan 22, 2012 43   North Carolina St. L 73-78 64%     10 - 7 1 - 3 +0.6 -3.8 +4.8
  Jan 24, 2012 170   @ Georgia Tech W 64-49 72%     11 - 7 2 - 3 +18.2 +10.5 +11.2
  Jan 29, 2012 252   @ Boston College W 76-54 86%     12 - 7 3 - 3 +20.0 +12.6 +9.9
  Feb 01, 2012 125   Maryland W 90-86 2OT 82%     13 - 7 4 - 3 +3.5 -4.2 +6.8
  Feb 05, 2012 15   @ Duke W 78-74 OT 23%     14 - 7 5 - 3 +21.3 +7.4 +13.8
  Feb 09, 2012 80   Virginia Tech W 65-49 74%     15 - 7 6 - 3 +18.7 -1.2 +21.1
  Feb 11, 2012 22   @ Florida St. L 59-64 26%     15 - 8 6 - 4 +11.1 +1.3 +9.4
  Feb 15, 2012 4   North Carolina L 64-73 29%     15 - 9 6 - 5 +6.2 +1.8 +3.9
  Feb 18, 2012 195   Wake Forest W 74-56 91%     16 - 9 7 - 5 +12.8 +7.8 +7.4
  Feb 21, 2012 125   @ Maryland L 70-75 62%     16 - 10 7 - 6 +1.3 +3.9 -3.0
  Feb 26, 2012 22   Florida St. W 78-62 51%     17 - 10 8 - 6 +25.3 +12.6 +12.7
  Feb 29, 2012 43   @ North Carolina St. L 73-77 39%     17 - 11 8 - 7 +8.4 +6.7 +1.6
  Mar 03, 2012 252   Boston College W 77-56 94%     18 - 11 9 - 7 +12.2 +5.6 +7.6
  Mar 08, 2012 170   Georgia Tech W 54-36 82%     19 - 11 +17.8 -9.7 +29.6
  Mar 09, 2012 22   Florida St. L 71-82 38%     19 - 12 +1.7 +7.9 -6.4
Projected Record 19.0 - 12.0 9.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 25.6% 25.6% 12.4 0.0 0.1 2.1 11.5 10.7 1.2 74.4 25.6%
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 25.6% 0.0% 25.6% 12.4 0.0 0.1 2.1 11.5 10.7 1.2 74.4 25.6%